Mafia 2 - Poly - Page 5

Adagio · November 12, 2003, 07:40

/me gets

Nubclear · November 12, 2003, 07:46

DrSpike:

Speaking of which...I need Call to Power 2. Can you get it for me?

Skanky Burns · November 12, 2003, 07:48

PM's. Not in this thread.

Jamski · November 12, 2003, 07:48

I

ADG.

One big bunch of roses on its way north to you.

And Spikie, didn't you want to see the pictures?

-Jam

DrSpike · November 12, 2003, 07:48

Quote:

Originally posted by Comrade Tassadar
DrSpike:

Speaking of which...I need Call to Power 2. Can you get it for me?

Well I could, if I am still alive later.

Nubclear · November 12, 2003, 07:51

Fine. I change my vote to Jamski!!!

Skanky Burns · November 12, 2003, 07:52

Jamski · November 12, 2003, 07:55

Perhaps I should go and make another coffee and see what happens...

-Jam

Skanky Burns · November 12, 2003, 07:57

The dreaded coffee of death.

Still, looks like you are safe for this round. Possibly.

DrSpike · November 12, 2003, 08:01

@ Jamski

I can't believe people are falling for your double bluffs again, like we all did last time. Noone would be stupid enough to risk posting that coffee thing if they were the mafia we thought, but we were, of course, wrong.

This time he has changed his location to say he is the Mafia, and watch your back. And he deliberately posted around the last death as another double bluff. He will never let you forget it if he gets away with it A SECOND time in a row. Even if I die Jamski must go next.

Jamski · November 12, 2003, 09:03

Ah come-on, you don't possibly think that Sheep would make me the Mafia twice in a row do you? The chances of that are 1 in 16 x 1 in 16 = 6.25% x 6.25% = 3.90625 x 10^-3 %, which is a very small number

-Jam

Skanky Burns · November 12, 2003, 09:15

Quote:

Originally posted by Skanky Burns
And yes, he has a 1/16 chance of being the mafia again.

Jamski · November 12, 2003, 09:22

The coffee ain't working

/me switches to tea *

-Jam

DrSpike · November 12, 2003, 09:30

Quote:

Originally posted by Jamski
Ah come-on, you don't possibly think that Sheep would make me the Mafia twice in a row do you? The chances of that are 1 in 16 x 1 in 16 = 6.25% x 6.25% = 3.90625 x 10^-3 %, which is a very small number

-Jam

More stats instruction is necessary I see. You flip a coin, and get 9 heads. What is the probability of heads on the 10th flip?

Your calc is only true a priori, before the mafia is chosen for the first game. Skanky's is the correct probability. Even then that assumes independent picks. And the reason the picks are not independent is that it may appeal to Sheep to choose someone twice.

Ljube · November 12, 2003, 09:36

Quote:

Originally posted by Jamski
I

ADG.

One big bunch of roses on its way north to you.

-Jam

Roses for his grave?
He is going to be your next victim?

rah · November 12, 2003, 09:47

Hmmm, so tempting, so what the heck.
Dr. Spike gets my vote.

RAH
Maybe you should have taken up our offer to play in a civII MP game.

DrSpike · November 12, 2003, 09:56

I guess then my fate is sealed. With my final words I suggest you all vote for Jamski when my innocence is revealed, before more innocents die.

Spaced Cowboy · November 12, 2003, 09:58

"Fool me once, shame on you!"
"Fool me twice, shame on me!"

Jamski, Jamski, and Jamski are my top three picks.

Kropotkin · November 12, 2003, 09:59

Jamski the mafia? No way! Jamski is one of the good guys for sure. MattH is the villain, isn't this obvious? He first posts a picture of Vovan as the mafioso, then he kills vovan. It's a clever stunt by an evil mastermind I tell you. No one but me have seen the devilishness of his plan to lure the rest of you into his trap!

DrSpike · November 12, 2003, 10:03

Quote:

Originally posted by Spaced Cowboy
"Fool me once, shame on you!"
"Fool me twice, shame on me!"

Jamski, Jamski, and Jamski are my top three picks.

Hmm, 6-5............just one person need change their vote from me to Jamski.

rah · November 12, 2003, 10:11

Spike, you free for an MP game Friday.

Ljube · November 12, 2003, 10:19

Count me in for that MP game too

DrSpike · November 12, 2003, 10:34

Quote:

Originally posted by rah
Spike, you free for an MP game Friday.

Are you sir trying to bribe me into playing by offering to change your vote?

Jamski · November 12, 2003, 10:35

Quote:

Your calc is only true a priori, before the mafia is chosen for the first game. Skanky's is the correct probability. Even then that assumes independent picks. And the reason the picks are not independent is that it may appeal to Sheep to choose someone twice.

A failed attempt to blind you with science. My staticstics were to show the probablity of any particular person being picked twice in a row.

Oh well, worth a try, eh?

-Jam

rah · November 12, 2003, 10:35

Quote:

Originally posted by DrSpike

Are you sir trying to bribe me into playing by offering to change your vote?

NAW, just trying to be the first one to poke the next dead body.

Jamski · November 12, 2003, 10:37

Rah, you know "poking" a body means something quite rude.

-Jam

rah · November 12, 2003, 11:34

Oppps, yes it does sound bad when I reread it.

I meant poking with A stick.
Not that stick.

Poking with a stick is a common phrase over hear.
While poking dead bodies "that way" is not common.

Skanky Burns · November 12, 2003, 11:47

Devious behavious - check
Large amounts of power that can corrupt him - check
Bitter from being killed by the villagers last game - check

Rah is looking rather suspicious... something to keep in mind for next round.

rah · November 12, 2003, 11:52

I don't have to look suspicious, I'm a mod. Always worthy of killing. I won't last long.

RAH
Knowing I will never last long in one of these would make me a poor selection. (once I last 4 or 5 rounds in one of these, then your suspicions are warrented.)

Ljube · November 12, 2003, 12:01

But where will I spend my nights if you kill the innkeeper?