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View Poll Results: What's our probablity of victory (at Diety level)
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0-10%
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1 |
4.17% |
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10-20%
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2 |
8.33% |
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20-30%
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1 |
4.17% |
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30-40%
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2 |
8.33% |
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40-50%
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4 |
16.67% |
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50-60%
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2 |
8.33% |
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60-70%
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4 |
16.67% |
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70-80%
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2 |
8.33% |
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80-90%
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1 |
4.17% |
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90-100%
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5 |
20.83% |
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May 7, 2003, 20:15
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#1
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Prince
Local Time: 16:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Mar 2002
Posts: 875
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What's the probablity of victory at Diety?
I commend you for your bravery (or maybe condemn you for foolhardiness) for choising Diety level. The probablity of succes in an SP game dictates the riskiness of the strategy (in MP your oppenents might be anticipating this)
I've usually lost at this level, and I haven't found the play in the Demo game any better than mine, so my guess for the probably of victory is 25%.
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May 7, 2003, 20:58
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#2
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Deity
Local Time: 17:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Oct 1999
Location: Davis, CA
Posts: 10,675
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With 24 Civ's...not much of a chance
With 12 it gets to 25%
With 8 a little better 33%
These are just my opinions and not based on fact, since no facts can be drwan from such a proposal/question.
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May 7, 2003, 21:00
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#3
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Emperor
Local Time: 20:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Oct 2002
Location: Queens University, Kingston, Ontario
Posts: 3,183
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does it matter? 
__________________
Proud Member of the ISDG Apolyton Team; Member #2 in the Apolyton Yact Club.
King of Trafalgar and Lord of all Isolationia in the Civ III PTW Glory of War team.
---------
May God Bless.
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May 7, 2003, 21:00
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#4
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Deity
Local Time: 20:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Nov 2002
Location: Land of 1000 Islands
Posts: 20,338
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The glass is half full my friends!
I am playing deity games now. It can be done. Warfare rules supreme.
__________________
Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war .... aw, forget that nonsense. Beer, please.
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May 7, 2003, 21:56
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#5
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Emperor
Local Time: 20:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Detroit
Posts: 4,551
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I have won on deity, more than once. We have a good civ, and a team that will not let the little things slip.... I give us better than 50%
__________________
Try peace first. If that does not work, then killing them is often a good solution. :evil:
As long as I could figure a way to hump myself, I would be OK with that
--Con
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May 8, 2003, 00:08
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#6
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Deity
Local Time: 12:59
Local Date: November 2, 2010
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: That's DR WhereItsAt...
Posts: 10,157
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You've got it all wrong - it's not whether you can win or not, but how many civs you take down with you. 
Screw aiming to win for the moment, I just want to kill things first. 
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May 8, 2003, 00:41
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#7
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Prince
Local Time: 19:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: May 2001
Location: of Bananas
Posts: 998
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We have a MUCH better chance than anyone on earth in single player. Everything is put under a microscope. We draw pictures, we do math. I can hardly win this game at all because I'm a total ass at it, but the group mentality works here.
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May 8, 2003, 00:52
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#8
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Emperor
Local Time: 21:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Botanic Garden, Rio
Posts: 5,124
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Quote:
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Originally posted by MrWhereItsAt
You've got it all wrong - it's not whether you can win or not, but how many civs you take down with you.
Screw aiming to win for the moment, I just want to kill things first.
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A real Prez. 
60%~70% 
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May 8, 2003, 04:13
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#9
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Emperor
Local Time: 01:59
Local Date: November 2, 2010
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: EMPEROR of Cats
Posts: 3,229
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It's either You Win or You Lose. So - that's 50%.
Edit: After posting this, I got
"Here's something to think about while you wait:
There are no winners in life, only survivors."
__________________
Greatest moments in cat:
__________________
"Miaooow..!"
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May 8, 2003, 11:58
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#10
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King
Local Time: 19:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Of GOW's half of BOB
Posts: 1,847
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I agree with MWIA. But I do think we have a %50+ chance to win. And even if we don't I don't see us being eliminated. We might lose but not be eliminated. I'll feel much more sure of this after we get 2 more cities running. However, I have never played with 24 civs at
ANY level(I didn't know how), so this is somewhat new to me.
Aggie
__________________
The 5th President, 2nd SMC and 8th VP in the Civ3 Demogame. Also proud member of the GOW team in the PTW game. Peace through superior firepower.
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May 9, 2003, 04:30
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#11
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Emperor
Local Time: 02:59
Local Date: November 2, 2010
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: MY WORDS ARE BACKED WITH BIO-CHEMICAL WEAPONS
Posts: 8,117
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hi ,
 , ... simple 100 % a human can beat this AI , .....
have a nice day 
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May 9, 2003, 09:55
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#12
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Emperor
Local Time: 19:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: May 2001
Location: flying too low to the ground
Posts: 4,625
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the thing is we can kick and scream for years we could always have adequate defenses against several AIs for the longest time, especially if w'ere ging with tight cities early on.
we're definately going to be the ottomans, in time. we'll probably subjigate them, take them for money and techs, then eradicate them 20 turns later.
then, we'll be in a position to pick a next target. all our neighbors have rockin' early UU's though.
__________________
"I've lived too long with pain. I won't know who I am without it. We have to leave this place, I am almost happy here."
- Ender, from Ender's Game by Orson Scott Card
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May 9, 2003, 18:28
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#13
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Prince
Local Time: 16:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Mar 2002
Posts: 875
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Quote:
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Originally posted by BetaHound
The glass is half full my friends!
I am playing deity games now. It can be done. Warfare rules supreme.
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I'll agree about warfare, that's definately the best shot we have, but it's gonna take alot of luck, too.
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May 9, 2003, 20:31
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#14
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Deity
Local Time: 18:59
Local Date: November 1, 2010
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: of naughty
Posts: 10,579
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I'd say 50% for an averagely-good player. However, being a team and with the detail you guys are known for I think you can pull those odds to 75% or above
__________________
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